Qantas expected to chase new Tokyo flight

Virgin Australia’s decision to end its Cairns-Tokyo flights will provide an opportunity for Qantas.

By David Flynn, September 10 2024
Qantas expected to chase new Tokyo flight

Qantas is likely to throw its hat into the ring for the right to fly between Australia and Tokyo’s Haneda Airport, following Virgin Australia’s decision to scrap its Cairns-Tokyo flights.

Both airlines were granted one ‘daily slot pairing’ of take-off and landing spots for Haneda in the lead-up to the Tokyo 2020 Olympic Games, along with a similarly split allocation for ANA and Japan Airlines.

Of course, the pandemic changed all that, especially for Virgin Australia.

Not only did Japan shut its borders and push the Olympics back to 2021, but Virgin Australia collapsed and new owners Bain Capital scrapped the Airbus A330 jets assigned to the promised Brisbane-Tokyo flights, which were set to begin on March 31, 2020.

Virgin Australia eventually reclaimed the slot by launching Boeing 737 flights between Cairns and Tokyo Haneda in June 2023, only to announce in July 2024 the route was “no longer commercially viable,” citing lower-than-expected visitation from Japan as a key factor in its decision.

This has put the second Australia-Tokyo Haneda slot back on the market, and Qantas is in the box seat.

Australia’s International Air Services Commission has today flagged “that one (1) daily frequency is now available for allocation on the Japan route, to service Tokyo (Haneda) Airport. 

“The capacity is available to be utilised from 25 February 2025,” the IASC notes – with that being the day after Virgin’s final Cairns-Tokyo flight on February 24, 2025.

The IASC says it is now “working towards allocating the one (1) daily frequency by 10 October 2024,” in advance of the late February kick-off.

Qantas originally applied for both of the new Australia-Tokyo Haneda slots, which must be scheduled for a daytime arrival to Tokyo – and with Virgin Australia out of the frame and no other contender, it’s likely to add a second Haneda route to its roster.

While Qantas already has two daily flights from Sydney to Tokyo Haneda, its flights from Melbourne and Brisbane both fly into the more distant Tokyo Narita airport.

Travellers can expect one of those routes to be switched to Haneda, which is conveniently located closer to the centre of Tokyo than the more distant Narita – although there’s always the wild card option of a new red-tailed route such as Perth-Tokyo, should the airline have the aircraft and perhaps funding from the WA government.

Fellow Oneworld member Japan Airlines offers a flurry of connections from Haneda to other domestic airports across Japan, while also making its Haneda first class and business class lounges available to eligible Qantas passengers.

Qantas - Qantas Frequent Flyer

06 Oct 2016

Total posts 174

ANA to MEL would be my wish. QF and JL are charging us about $1k more than the cost of going MEL-SYD-HND, both their J class are packed and there is no W option the respective A330-300 and 787-8, so an alternative carrier would be very welcome. Better for SA and Tas travelers as well

Won't be ANA, this slot is purely for an Australian airline. ANA and JAL each got a HND-AUS slot back in 2019, same time as QF and VA each got their AUD-HND slots. What we're seeing here is the VA slot being put up for grabs, and that's an AUS-HND slot so that's basically Qantas.

Qantas - Qantas Frequent Flyer

06 Oct 2016

Total posts 174

Thanks for letting us all know the Australian Anti-Competition and Consumer Commission is still doing their job... literally days after QF/VA being slammed for abuse of market power in a duopoly.

Qantas - Qantas Frequent Flyer

03 Mar 2014

Total posts 22

I will disagree with the comment that Melbourne is better for Tasmanian travellers (or at least most). I have flown to Tokyo several times in the past year from Hobart and a late-afternoon connection via Sydney is much nicer than a 6am flight through Melbourne.

Qantas - Qantas Frequent Flyer

06 Oct 2016

Total posts 174

Maybe SA/Tas would have additional options if there was a third carrier... Do you think it is easier to transit in SYD over MEL?

12 Dec 2012

Total posts 1027

Haneda International slots are awarded to nations by the Japanese government on a 1:1 basis.

They awarded 2 day time slots to Australia. This means that Japanese airlines get 2 slots to fly to Australia from Haneda and Australian airlines get 2 slots to fly from Australia to Haneda.

The Japanese half of the Australia slots are used by JL and NH to fly to SYD. This slot is being returned to IASC by VA to be reassigned to another Australian carrier to fly to Haneda. QF holds the other slot, and is using it for QF59 and QF26.

QF and NH each hold a night slot from a prior round of allocations, which both use for SYD-HND.

Current HND/AU slots:

Night slots (HND arrival/departure between 10pm and 6am)
QF SYD-HND
NH HND-SYD

Day slots
VA CNS-HND - being returned
QF SYD-HND
NH HND-SYD
JL HND-SYD

The most likely outcome of this is that Qantas gets to operate the MEL-HND flight they asked for back in 2019, moving the existing flight from NRT and, pending aircraft availability, maybe resuming PER-NRT.

I agree, if Qantas got handed a bag full of WA Govt funding it would launch PER-HND like a shot, and I would actually not be surprised if it was sounding them out on this option as soon as the writing was on the wall for VA's route. Otherwise you almost have to toss a coin to consider if MEL or BNE deserves the switch from NRT to HND.

03 May 2021

Total posts 56

As much as it would be nice to see Qantas operate Perth to Tokyo I doubt it will happen since Qantas international in Perth is still operating out of terminal 3 and they’ve said several times that flights to Auckland and Johannesburg are the priority. Plus ANA already operates the route to Narita albeit.

Qantas - Qantas Frequent Flyer

19 Jun 2019

Total posts 10

For me move MEL to HND and use the NRT slot to start PER-NRT 

Qantas - Qantas Frequent Flyer

06 Nov 2014

Total posts 354

Can I bet it'll be MEL-HND? Then possibly PER-NRT?

Qantas - Qantas Frequent Flyer

04 Nov 2017

Total posts 332

MEL-HND is probably the better chance, with or without Victorian Government Aviation Funding as it's possible that can stand on it's own two feet  without Government support.  

BNE is unlikely considering the state election ahead, otherwise, it would've been likely Queensland would be throwing the AAIF funds at QF in their attempt to attract the BNE-HND service.


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